Posts Tagged ‘Research in Motion’

Research in Motion option strategies Research in Motion Limited (NASDAQ:RIMM) has earned some interesting and enigmatic reviews over the past few days. On the bullish front, Goldman Sachs increased its fiscal year 2012 and 2013 earnings estimates for the BlackBerry parent.  The brokerage believes increased sales of tablet-style devices should help sales growth. One caveat to this seemingly bullish adjustment, however, is that Goldman kept its target at $50 (representing modest downside from current levels).

On the other hand, Stifel Nicolaus downgraded its rating on RIMM to hold from buy and reduced its 12-month price target to $45 from $65.  The firm expressed concern that developers are devoting less time and money to apps for the BlackBerry operating system, suggesting the battle for smartphone domination may be a losing one for RIMM. (more…)

Research in Motion (RIMM) PlayBook Research in Motion (NASDAQ:RIMM) showed pronounced strength on Wednesday amid reports that the BlackBerry company’s PlayBook tablet (designed to compete with the iPad) would be out early next year. What’s more, its price point is rumored to be below $500, which potentially makes it more attractive than the Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) device.

The shares rallied more than 6% by yesterday’s close and are up close to 20% during the past month. RIMM is on a run toward the 60 level, but it appears that some option traders seem to be expecting a relatively sharp pullback in the intermediate term.  These traders took advantage of Wednesday’s pop higher to trade a risk reversal (also known as a synthetic short stock position). (more…)

Research in Motion LEAPS option activity In early trading on Tuesday, an investor appears to have made a large-scale bullish play in Research in Motion Limited (NASDAQ:RIMM). What’s more, this investor is likely looking at the long-term outlook by scooping up LEAP positions.

Yesterday, shortly before 10 a.m. , Eastern Time, a block of 10,000 January 2012 90-strike calls hit the tape, trading for 95 cents apiece. This was the offer price at the time, indicating that they likely were initiated by a buyer.  The block accounted for $950,000 in total premium paid.

This call currently has a delta of 13, meaning it will theoretically gain/lose 13 cents whenever RIMM gains/loses $1.  While 13 cents may not seem like much, consider that a $1 advance in RIMM is equal to a 1.8% move in the stock to $55.84; a 13-cent move in this option is a 13.6% move in the option premium to $1.08. (more…)

Did Research In Motion (RIMM) Blow It?

Friday, August 6th, 2010

100806JaredRimm.jpg Well, RIM … “Ya Blew It!” Imagine this phrase uttered like De Niro said to Stallone in Cop Land, just with much more conviction.  I am putting the pom-poms down and the party is over for Research in Motion (NASDAQ:RIMM) in my humble opinion – at least for a while. Since 2008, I have written many articles about the Canadian Smartphone pioneer and have built a case for this company recovering from its lagging position in the race to be on top.  A year or so ago, I cited RIMM’s acquisition of Torch Mobile as a move in the right direction to get the BlackBerry browser up to date and hopefully looking cool.

RIMM has always been a slow-and-steady-wins-the-race sort of company.  They engineer and refine their products to be dependable and capable, which I applaud them for.  This is also a trait I thought would help them in the long run as long as they could balance that dependability with creating new and exciting products.

So when I heard earlier this year about OS6, I got excited. I felt that RIMM would really wow us not only with this cool new operating system, which they so eloquently teased, but with a device that would bring “sexy back, ” just like Timberlake!  But no, we get another so-so slider that looks the same as about 15 other devices which have preceded it, only much less sexy. Here you can check it out for yourself.

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BlackBerry, Research in Motion (RIMM) Research In Motion Limited (NASDAQ:RIMM) shares were “in motion” on Tuesday after the company announced the release of its latest smartphone, the BlackBerry Torch 9800. It will be the first device to run on the BlackBerry 6 operating system. It’s a touch screen phone (with a slide-out keyboard) that is expected to be a worthy rival to the iPhone and other smartphones.  The device, which will cost $199 with a two-year contract, is exclusively offered by AT&T (NYSE:T).  In fact, T’s President and CEO of Mobility and Consumer Markets calls the Torch “The best BlackBerry device ever.”

Always one of the final big names to report during earnings season, RIMM is expected in the earnings confessional on or around September 23. Analysts are currently expecting per-share earnings of $1.36.  This compares to year-ago results of $1.03 for the same reporting period.

Will the Torch spell good news for RIMM, or will it be a case of “buy the rumor, sell the news?” Additionally, how might RIMM fare when it reports earnings next month?  For those interested in playing a bullish or bearish thesis in RIMM using options, we’ve outlined two strategies below.

Note that these are not buy/sell/hold recommendations, merely examples of various strategies for educational purposes.  The prices are taken as of Tuesday’s close, when RIMM shares were trading at $55.53, down $1.45 on the day.

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So after the market closed yesterday, I took a ride down the street to my dentist’s office for my every-six-months hour of fun and excitement with the hygienist.  On my way home, I decided to take a different route that took me right past the Highland Park Apple Store, about a block away from my home.  I had heard a rumor about a guy who had been camping out since last Friday for the new iPhone 4 and I had to check this out.  Sure enough, with tent, Bunsen burner, lawn chairs, and an endless supply of water (it’s 103 degrees today, with not a cloud in sight), I saw him.

The guy I saw (who prefers to remain anonymous) is a local celebrity and maybe a bit crazy for waiting in the 100+ degree endless summer solstice sun.   According to him, he has been the first in line for the all of the iPhone releases at this store.

He was greeted with some honking by passing Dallas-ites during the three minutes I was there, but many just think he is crazy, according to local blogs and articles.   I would call him determined and passionate to say the least. I mean, you can’t get a iPhone 4 right now, so maybe he’s not so nuts. They did pre-sell 600,000 in one day.

But this story isn’t about this Apple fan or his compatriots braving ridiculous weather conditions alone to get the iPhone 4, it’s about the slew of 3Gs and 3GSs that will be hitting the secondary market, namely by way of places like eBay, craigslist and Gazelle.com, who has received a record number of iPhone trades.   By my estimates, there are more than 49 million 3Gs and 3GSs in the hands of folks around the world.  When Apple rolled out the 3GS, a large amount of legacy owners upgraded their phones, and that change was largely to do with speed rather than the phone itself. (more…)

Is the Apple iPhone 4G on the Way?

Monday, June 7th, 2010

Steve Jobs, AppleExpectations are always high for new Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) products and with Steve Jobs being the showman and master of spin that he is, he can generally deliver.  Blogs are lit up with anticipation ahead of today’s Worldwide Developers Conference and Jobs’ keynote speech is expected to contain news of a new product (Note: I am writing this at 7:30 am CT).

There have been many sites that have leaked photos and specifics of the closely-guarded product.  Of course there was the notorious beer-garden incident in California, which offered a “free look” into the phone, thanks to Gray Powell, an engineer from Apple who left the phone at Gourmet Haus Staudt (which I hear has a great selection of German beers, by the way).  That fourth-generation phone ended up in the hands of the website Gizmodo for the sum of $5,000 but was later returned to Apple.

According to Gizmodo, the new iPhone is thinner than the 3GS and previous iPhones, containing smaller internal components and a 16% larger battery inside the new metal frame; this could mean that poor battery life will be improved. There is now a front-facing camera, which should help with many apps and with video chat, and there is also a larger and better-quality camera with an LED flash on the back, a higher-resolution display, and a second microphone for noise cancellation.

There is also reportedly a new back cover, which is speculated to be glass or ceramic, possibly to address the scratching issues that iPhone owners face every time they sit their naked iPhone on just about any surface other than one coated with cosmoline. It is also reported that there will also now be a MicroSIM slot in the phone, which is the same device used in the iPad. (more…)

No April fool’s day pranks here as the broad market marches on higher. This rally is broad even when you look inside the indices; four stocks are up for every one that is down.

All the major market indices rallied higher today after jobless claims fell 6,000 in the week ended March 27 to 439,000 (seasonally adjusted). This lower number was a positive surprise to traders looking for a recovery in the labor markets since the prevailing consensus prior to the announcement was a prediction of 443,000.

The non-farm payroll data will be out tomorrow and will be closely watched, even on Good Friday. Markets will be closed in observance of the holiday, but we will be covering the event in our blog.

Ford (F)

Ford (F) revealed some strong overseas sales numbers in China and India, while GM (MTLQQ) reported strong sales domestically. We did see some heavy options activity in Ford this morning in a couple strikes:

F: $12.83 up $0.2600 or 2.07% volume: 79.46 million shares
Apr10 13.00 Calls: volume over 11193, versus open interest of 76446
Jun10 9.00 Puts: volume over 10930, versus open interest of 17963

Research in Motion (RIMM) was also topping the tape with a mixed, although mostly positive, earnings report. However, the company missed its earnings per share, coming in .01 below analysts’ expectations and sending the stock lower 5% towards the $70.00 level. Options traders were jockeying positions in this issue as well with volume at a relatively high level in the options and stock markets. We saw heavy action in the following strikes, but have not received detail on whether they were bought or sold.

Research in Motion (RIMM)

RIMM: $70.24 down $3.7300 or 5.04% volume: 23.11 million shares
Apr10 70.00 Calls: volume over 13762, trading last: $1.87 bid: $1.86 ask: $1.88 OI: 13896
May10 75.00 Calls: volume over 10035, trading last: $1.53 bid: $1.52 ask: $1.54 OI: 10975

In summary, there is much more data on the near-term horizon, not to mention the start of a new quarter and earnings’ season. This season will be closely watched as many would like to see the trailing p/e of the SPX, currently hovering near 19, drop down to a more normal level of 14-17. For most retail traders, the key will be staying on top of your portfolio as volatility may begin to pick up.

Remember there are a couple hours left in the trading day and the volume of these issues may continue to rise, but this is where we are seeing some heavy options activity today. Also remember that options can be bought or sold and volume does not indicate which.

These are a few of my team’s observations this morning. If you have others you would like to add to this list, please feel free to share them in the comments.

Photo Credit: wallyg

Friday morning, JP Morgan upgraded Research in Motion Limited (NASDAQ: RIMM) to “overweight” (basically a buy) from “neutral” (basically a hold). Analysts expressed bullishness toward the smartphone sector, saying 2010 “will be the first year for true mass-market adoption of mobile computers.” This trend could bode well for RIMM, parent of the BlackBerry device. The banking giant also adjusted its 12-month price target on RIMM by 20% to $84 from $70. The stock closed at $75.06 on Friday (after a 2.2% advance on the day). RIMM will report earnings on Wednesday after the close, and analysts estimate per-share results of $1.28.

While analysts are basically limited to three schools of thought – “buy,” “sell,” or “hold,” option traders can build a variety of strategies based on how bullish, bearish, or neutral they are. There are dozens of option strategies, all with their own risk/reward profiles that can be used by investors who expect varying degrees of changes in price action or volatility.

Below are two ways stock traders might trade RIMM options instead of (or in addition to) buying or selling the stock outright. These are not buy-sell-hold recommendations, just a demonstration of potential strategies. One is for RIMM bulls who side with JP Morgan, and the other is for bears who believe RIMM’s upside is limited.

*Option prices given as of Monday morning (more…)

What started as another flat day in the markets, is turning out to be a bullish one…Even though overall stock volume remains light, we are still seeing some heavy options activity.

Already, there has been quite a bit of spread activity all around with heavy action in Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO). This is likely in reaction to an earlier announcement for a new routing system that is 12 times faster than Cisco’s competitors.  Ahead of the announcement, we actually saw the Jan 30 calls being sold, which could be interpreted as a move by many investors to take advantage of volatility.

Citigroup (C) is also much higher today and options traders are active there as well.

Remember, there are still a couple hours left in the trading day and the volume of these issues may continue to rise, but this is where we have already been seeing some heavy options activity early today.

Big Movers in Today’s Market:

GME: $18.50 up $0.0300 or 0.16% volume: 0.74 million shares
Jul10 21.00 Calls: volume over 22010, versus Open Interest of 8836
Apr10 17.00 Puts: volume over 11878, versus Open Interest of 1319

XLP: $27.53 up $0.0400 or 0.15% volume: 0.92 million shares
Jun10 26.00 Puts: volume over 19500, versus Open Interest of 9331

CMC: $17.38 up $1.1300 or 6.95% volume: 4.04 million shares
Mar10 17.50 Calls: volume over 17039, versus Open Interest of 19772

CSCO: $26.16 up $0.0250 or 0.10% volume: 48.81 million shares
Mar10 27.00 Calls: volume over 15863, versus Open Interest of 16764
Apr10 26.00 Calls: volume over 12968, versus Open Interest of 69724

AAPL: $223.69 up $4.6100 or 2.10% volume: 10.11 million shares
Mar10 230.00 Calls: volume over 15179, versus Open Interest of 24745
Mar10 220.00 Calls: volume over 14629, versus Open Interest of 36850

XLK: $22.55 up $0.1200 or 0.53% volume: 4.02 million shares
Jan11 20.00 Puts: volume over 15000, versus Open Interest of 44430

XRT: $39.74 up $0.1290 or 0.33% volume: 2.79 million shares
Jun10 38.00 Puts: volume over 13001, versus Open Interest of 2211

BAC: $16.82 up $0.0799 or 0.48% volume: 56.11 million shares
Mar10 17.00 Calls: volume over 12499, versus Open Interest of 166550

UNG: $8.21 down $0.0500 or 0.61% volume: 4.08 million shares
Mar10 9.00 Calls: volume over 12185, versus Open Interest of 71909

RIMM: $74.32 up $0.9300 or 1.27% volume: 7.75 million shares
Mar10 75.00 Calls: volume over 11960, versus Open Interest of 49525

FRPT: $6.12 up $0.6420 or 11.72% volume: 1.56 million shares
Jun10 7.50 Calls: volume over 10039, versus Open Interest of 954

These are my team’s early morning observations. If there are other big moves you would like to see added to today’s list, please feel free to add your observations in the comments.

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